Sunday, July 6, 2008

No steady-paced agreement in oil-rich areas?! Not so fast...

Southern Sudan conflict encounters sometimes also good news.

Sudan President Hussan al-Bashir and Southern-Sudan president Kiir signed in June 9th an agreement for the Abyei area, calling for International Border Arbitration. The agreement recommends a return of the displaced by the recent LRA-SPLA fighting, as well as those displaced by the second Sudanese civil war, ended in 2005. A call for an administrative authority for the area, and the merging of Northern and Southern units in "joint integrated units" was also issued from both sides.

This solution ends a rather under-covered conflict between SPLA and LRA that caused several deaths and hundreds of thousands of refugees that are now on the route to re-settle.

The oil rich Abyei region is also setting for 2011 a referendum to decide whether to join the Southern Sudan or stay with the North. Southern Sudan would then be allowed to express its will to secede from Sudan in a separate referendum. As to now, southern militia SPLA merely moved out of Abyei town and is said not to have fully meet agreements. SPLA maintained it was not clear whether it was meant a withdrawal from Abyei-area or Abyei-city.

Reason for concern now is the nomination of the arbitrator, a decision which will prove the commitment to peace.

The follow-up of the signing was marred by LRA (Lord´s Resistance Army) activity causing several deaths in the SPLA. The organization, once an Ethnic-indipendentist Army, is now reported to be Sudan-backed, in response to Ugandan support for SPLA. In both cases, the agreement will invalidate its very mission and existence as it may prove that Militias are not necessary when there is a sincere will for peace.

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